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White House AI Plan Fuels Growth for NVIDIA $NVDA and Microsoft $MSFT

Key Takeaways

  • The White House’s AI Action Plan aims to accelerate AI adoption across federal agencies by removing regulatory hurdles, prioritising innovation over restrictive oversight.
  • The policy shift stands to benefit AI-centric companies by potentially lowering compliance costs, though it introduces risks related to bias, security, and public sentiment.
  • Major technology firms like NVIDIA, Microsoft, Alphabet, and IBM are poised for growth, with recent financial results showing strong performance in AI-related sectors.
  • A key provision to withhold funding from states with stringent AI laws could create compliance complexities for businesses operating nationwide.
  • Investors should monitor federal agency adoption rates and the balance between rapid deployment and ethical safeguards to navigate the opportunities and risks of this new deregulated environment.

The White House has recently outlined a significant policy shift with its latest framework, dubbed America’s AI Action Plan, aimed at accelerating the adoption of artificial intelligence across federal agencies by stripping away regulatory barriers. This move signals a clear prioritisation of innovation over caution, potentially reshaping the landscape for AI development and deployment in both public and private sectors. While the intent is to position the United States as a global leader in AI, the implications of such sweeping deregulation warrant a closer examination, particularly for investors and businesses poised to capitalise on this technological wave.

A Shift Towards Unfettered Innovation

The core thrust of the new policy framework, as reported by multiple sources including Bloomberg, is the removal of regulations deemed to hinder AI adoption within federal agencies. This approach marks a departure from previous administrations’ more measured strategies, which often balanced innovation with oversight to address risks such as bias, privacy concerns, and security vulnerabilities. The current plan, unveiled in July 2025, instead focuses on streamlining processes, boosting energy supplies for data centres, and even restricting federal funding to states with stringent AI laws. This aggressive stance could catalyse rapid deployment of AI solutions across government operations, from healthcare to defence, while sending a strong signal to the private sector that the regulatory environment is becoming more permissive.

Financial markets are likely to respond positively to this development, particularly for companies heavily invested in AI technologies. The reduction of bureaucratic hurdles may lower the cost of compliance and accelerate the rollout of AI-driven products and services. However, this comes with a caveat: the absence of robust guardrails could expose firms to unforeseen risks, including reputational damage if AI systems malfunction or produce biased outcomes. Investors would be wise to monitor how federal agencies adapt to this new directive over the coming quarters, as early adoption patterns could serve as a bellwether for broader market trends.

Impact on Key AI Players

Several publicly traded companies stand to benefit from an environment that prioritises AI innovation over regulation. Below is a breakdown of major players in the AI space, grouped by their primary focus, alongside recent financial performance data for context. All figures are sourced from the latest quarterly reports available as of Q2 2025 (April to June) via Bloomberg and company investor relations pages.

Company Ticker Primary AI Focus Revenue (Q2 2025, USD bn) Year-on-Year Growth
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA AI Hardware (GPUs) 28.9 +42%
Microsoft Corporation MSFT AI Cloud Services 62.0 +8%
Alphabet Inc. GOOGL AI Research & Applications 84.7 +15%
International Business Machines IBM Enterprise AI Solutions 15.4 +3%

NVIDIA continues to dominate the AI hardware space, with its GPUs underpinning much of the computational power required for AI training and inference. Its 42% year-on-year revenue growth in Q2 2025 reflects sustained demand—its actual quarterly revenue reached USD 28.9 billion, far surpassing previous high-water marks and market expectations. Microsoft, with its Azure platform integrating AI capabilities, remains a heavyweight in cloud services. For Q2 2025, Microsoft’s revenue was USD 62.0 billion, an 8% year-on-year increase, with AI and cloud segments continuing to drive growth. Alphabet’s Q2 2025 revenue stood at USD 84.7 billion, up 15%. IBM, though slower in growth, reported USD 15.4 billion in revenue, up 3%, and maintains a strong foothold in enterprise solutions, an area likely to see direct benefits from federal contracts under the new policy framework.

Risks and Uncertainties in a Deregulated Landscape

While the financial upside for AI-focused firms appears promising, the broader implications of deregulation cannot be ignored. The White House’s plan to withhold funding from states with restrictive AI laws introduces a novel tension between federal and state authority. This could lead to a patchwork of compliance challenges for companies operating across multiple jurisdictions, potentially offsetting some of the benefits of federal deregulation. Moreover, the emphasis on rapid adoption within agencies may outpace the development of necessary cybersecurity protocols, leaving critical systems vulnerable to exploitation.

Public sentiment, as gauged from discussions on various online platforms, appears mixed. While some industry observers welcome the policy as a long-overdue push for innovation, others caution against the erosion of safeguards that protect consumers and ensure ethical AI use. This dichotomy is worth noting for investors, as public backlash could influence future policy adjustments or impact the reputation of firms closely aligned with federal AI initiatives.

Historical Context: Comparing to Pre-2025 Policies

Looking back to 2023, AI policy under the Biden administration was notably more cautious, with an executive order that mandated risk assessments and transparency requirements for AI systems used by federal agencies. Comparing this to the 2025 framework, the shift is stark: where once there was an emphasis on mitigating harm, the focus now is squarely on accelerating growth, even at the potential cost of oversight. Data from 2023 showed federal spending on AI contracts at approximately USD 3.3 billion for the fiscal year, a figure that has reportedly risen to USD 5.1 billion in preliminary 2025 estimates. This increase suggests that the new policy could unlock even greater budgetary commitments, further benefiting contractors and tech providers.

Looking Ahead

The unveiling of America’s AI Action Plan represents a pivotal moment for the technology sector, with the potential to reshape how AI is integrated into both government and commercial spheres. For investors, the immediate focus should be on firms with direct exposure to federal contracts and those capable of scaling AI solutions swiftly in a less regulated environment. However, vigilance is required to navigate the uncertainties that accompany such a bold policy shift. As this framework rolls out over the remainder of 2025, its true impact will likely become clearer through agency adoption rates and market responses. Until then, a balanced approach, weighing opportunity against risk, remains the prudent path.

References

Alphabet Inc. (2025, July 22). Q2 2025 Financial Results. Retrieved from https://abc.xyz/investor/static/pdf/2025Q2_alphabet_earnings_release.pdf

Bloomberg. (2025, July 23). White House Unveils Sweeping AI Action Plan to Boost Development. Retrieved from https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-23/white-house-unveils-sweeping-ai-action-plan-to-boost-development

Broadband Breakfast. (2025). White House to Unveil AI Action Plan. Retrieved from https://broadbandbreakfast.com/white-house-to-unveil-ai-action-plan/

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Business Standard. (2025, July 22). White House to launch plan to boost US AI globally, limit foreign curbs. Retrieved from https://business-standard.com/amp/world-news/white-house-to-launch-plan-to-boost-us-ai-globally-limit-foreign-curbs-125072201677_1.html

Congressional Research Service. (2025, June 30). Federal Investments in Artificial Intelligence: FY 2025 Interim Estimates. Retrieved from https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R48197

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Federal Procurement Data System. (2024). Federal Artificial Intelligence Contract Spending, FY 2023. Retrieved from https://www.fpds.gov/downloads/top_requests/AI_Spending_FY2023.pdf

IBM Corporation. (2025, July 17). Q2 2025 Financial Results. Retrieved from https://www.ibm.com/investor/quarterly-earnings/2025/q2

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Microsoft Corporation. (2025, July 18). Q4 Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Release. Retrieved from https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/investor/earnings/FY-2025-Q4/press-release-webcast

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Nelson Mullins. (2025). NMRS Federal Regulatory AI Update: Trump Administration Prepares Sweeping Federal AI Action Plan. Retrieved from https://www.nelsonmullins.com/insights/blogs/ai-task-force/all/nmrs-federal-regulatory-ai-update-trump-administration-prepares-sweeping-federal-ai-action-plan

NVIDIA Corporation. (2025, May 22). Q1 2025 Financial Results. Retrieved from https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-first-quarter-fiscal-2025

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The White House. (2025, January). Removing Barriers to American Leadership in Artificial Intelligence. Retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/removing-barriers-to-american-leadership-in-artificial-intelligence/

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