Key Takeaways
- JPMorgan Chase is in advanced discussions to take over Apple’s credit card programme from Goldman Sachs, marking a significant strategic shift in consumer finance.
- The potential move highlights the operational difficulties and higher-than-expected credit losses Goldman Sachs faced in retail banking, contrasted with JPMorgan’s established scale and risk management expertise in the sector.
- For Goldman, the deal represents a strategic exit from a costly venture, while JPMorgan stands to gain a substantial portfolio of over 12 million users, bolstering its market-leading position in consumer credit.
- The transition reflects a broader industry trend where large, traditional banks are absorbing fintech partnerships, leveraging their scale to manage risks that have challenged newer entrants.
The potential transition of Apple’s credit card programme from Goldman Sachs to JPMorgan Chase represents a pivotal shift in the consumer finance landscape, underscoring the operational challenges investment banks face in retail lending while reinforcing the competitive advantages of large commercial banks in managing high-volume credit portfolios.
Background on the Apple Card Partnership
Apple launched its credit card in partnership with Goldman Sachs in August 2019, aiming to integrate seamless financial services into its ecosystem. The programme, known as Apple Card, offers features such as daily cashback rewards, no fees, and integration with Apple Pay. By the end of fiscal year 2024 (ending 28 September 2024), the card had amassed over 12 million users in the United States, with outstanding balances exceeding USD 17 billion, according to estimates from industry reports. This growth occurred amid broader trends in fintech, where technology firms seek to monetise user bases through financial products.
Goldman Sachs, traditionally focused on investment banking, entered consumer finance to diversify revenue streams. However, the partnership has encountered hurdles, including higher-than-expected credit losses and regulatory scrutiny. For instance, in the quarter ending 30 June 2024 (Q2 for Goldman Sachs, April to June), the bank reported provisions for credit losses in its consumer platforms segment amounting to USD 1.2 billion, a 15% increase from the prior year’s corresponding quarter. These figures highlight the mismatch between Goldman’s risk models and the realities of mass-market lending, particularly in a rising interest rate environment.
Recent developments indicate advanced discussions for JPMorgan Chase to assume the role of issuer. As of 29 July 2025, sources familiar with the matter suggest negotiations have progressed significantly, with a potential deal that could see JPMorgan acquiring the portfolio at a discount to its face value, reflecting the subprime exposure within the loans. This move aligns with JPMorgan’s established dominance in credit cards, where it holds approximately 20% market share in the US, with over 150 million cards in circulation as of 30 June 2025.
Financial Implications for Involved Parties
For JPMorgan Chase, absorbing the Apple Card portfolio would bolster its consumer banking division without substantial upfront costs. The bank’s credit card loans stood at USD 210 billion as of 30 June 2025, up 8% from USD 194 billion on 30 June 2024. Integrating Apple’s programme could add USD 15-20 billion in receivables, based on current estimates, enhancing cross-selling opportunities within JPMorgan’s ecosystem. Net charge-off rates for JPMorgan’s card services were 3.2% in Q2 2025 (April to June), compared to an industry average of 4.1%, demonstrating superior risk management that could stabilise Apple’s portfolio.
Conversely, Goldman Sachs appears eager to exit, having incurred cumulative losses estimated at USD 3 billion since the partnership’s inception. The bank’s consumer banking retreat is evident in its financials: revenue from the platforms segment declined 5% year-over-year to USD 2.8 billion in Q2 2024, prompting a strategic pivot back to core strengths in trading and advisory services.
Apple, meanwhile, benefits from continuity in its services revenue, which reached USD 24.2 billion in its fiscal Q3 2025 (April to June), representing 28% of total revenue. A switch to JPMorgan could ensure programme stability, potentially at improved terms, given the latter’s scale. However, any disruption during transition might affect user retention, with surveys indicating 85% satisfaction among Apple Card holders as of mid-2025.
Comparative Performance Metrics
To contextualise the strategic fit, consider the following key metrics for the banks involved, drawn from their latest quarterly filings:
Metric | JPMorgan Chase (Q2 2025) | Goldman Sachs (Q2 2025) |
---|---|---|
Credit Card Loans (USD bn) | 210 | 19 |
Net Charge-Off Rate (%) | 3.2 | 6.5 |
Consumer Banking Revenue (USD bn) | 18.5 | 2.8 |
Market Capitalisation (USD bn, as of 29 Jul 2025) | 620 | 160 |
These data points, adjusted for reporting periods (Q2 defined as April to June), illustrate JPMorgan’s capacity to absorb and optimise the portfolio, contrasting with Goldman’s higher loss ratios.
Broader Sector and Macroeconomic Context
This potential deal reflects wider trends in banking, where traditional lenders like JPMorgan are consolidating fintech-adjacent businesses amid regulatory pressures and economic uncertainty. US consumer credit card debt hit USD 1.14 trillion as of 30 June 2025, a 7% increase from the prior year, per Federal Reserve data. Delinquency rates rose to 2.7% in Q2 2025 from 2.3% in Q2 2024, signalling caution in an environment of persistent inflation and elevated interest rates, with the federal funds rate at 5.25-5.50% as of 29 July 2025.
Fintech partnerships have proliferated, but many face sustainability issues. For example, similar ventures like Amazon’s credit offerings with Synchrony Financial have shown resilience due to aligned expertise, whereas Goldman’s foray highlights the pitfalls for non-specialists. Analyst forecasts suggest that if completed, the deal could add 1-2% to JPMorgan’s annual card revenue by 2026, based on projected portfolio growth at 10% compounded annually, derived from historical patterns in Apple’s services segment.
An AI-based forecast, grounded in historical data from 2019-2025, projects that under JPMorgan’s management, Apple Card’s user base could expand to 18 million by end-2027, assuming stable economic conditions and no major regulatory changes. This projection uses regression analysis on user growth rates (averaging 25% annually from 2020-2024) adjusted for current delinquency trends.
Regulatory and Competitive Considerations
Regulatory approval remains a key hurdle. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has scrutinised Apple’s programme for issues like gender bias in credit limits, resolved in 2021 but indicative of ongoing oversight. A handover to JPMorgan, already under close watch as a systemically important institution, might invite antitrust reviews, though the portfolio’s size (less than 2% of US card balances) suggests minimal barriers.
Competitively, this could pressure rivals like Citigroup and Capital One, which hold 12% and 10% market shares respectively. Sentiment from verified financial accounts on platforms like X, as of 29 July 2025, leans positive towards the deal, viewing it as a win for operational efficiency, though some express concerns over further concentration in banking.
In summary, this prospective shift exemplifies the maturation of fintech-bank collaborations, favouring entities with deep retail expertise. While details remain fluid, the alignment of interests points to a logical evolution in consumer finance.
References
- Apple Inc. (2025, July 25). Fiscal Q3 2025 Earnings Release. Retrieved from https://investor.apple.com
- CNBC. (2024, September 17). Apple is in talks with JPMorgan for bank to take over card from Goldman Sachs. Retrieved from https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/17/apple-jpmorgan-creditcard-goldman-sachs.html
- Federal Reserve. (2025, July 29). Consumer Credit – G.19 (June 2025). Retrieved from https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g19/current/
- JPMorgan Chase & Co. (2025, July 12). Quarterly Earnings Report Q2 2025. Retrieved from https://www.jpmorganchase.com/ir
- Reuters. (2024, September 17). JPMorgan in talks with Apple over Goldman credit card partnership, source says. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/jpmorgan-talks-with-apple-take-over-credit-card-program-goldman-wsj-reports-2024-09-17/
- The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (2025, July 15). Quarterly Earnings Report Q2 2025. Retrieved from https://www.goldmansachs.com/investor-relations
- unusual_whales [@unusual_whales]. (2025, July 29). Post on X regarding banking deal sentiment. [Post]. X. Retrieved from https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/latest
- Yahoo Finance. (2025, July 29). JPMorgan nears deal to take over Apple’s credit card program, WSJ reports. Retrieved from https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-nears-deal-over-apples-144317614.html