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Booking Holdings $BKNG Falls 2.5% Despite 16% Revenue Rise in Q1 2025 Results

Key Takeaways

  • Booking Holdings surpassed Q2 2025 analyst expectations, reporting revenue of $6.8 billion against a $6.55 billion consensus and an adjusted EPS of $55.40 versus a $50.38 forecast.
  • Key operational metrics showed significant strength, with gross bookings reaching $46.7 billion and room nights booked climbing to 309 million, both beating market estimates.
  • The company’s performance was driven by sustained international travel demand and strategic growth in alternative accommodations, providing a buffer against macroeconomic pressures.
  • Compared to competitors, Booking Holdings demonstrated superior growth, benefiting from its global diversification and investments in AI-driven personalisation to improve customer engagement.
  • Forward-looking guidance and analyst forecasts remain positive, projecting full-year 2025 revenue of approximately $25.5 billion, reflecting confidence in the company’s resilience.

Booking Holdings has exhibited robust financial momentum in its second quarter 2025 results, surpassing analyst expectations across revenue, earnings, and operational metrics. This underscores the company’s adaptability in a travel industry still navigating post-pandemic recovery and economic uncertainties.

Key Financial Highlights from Q2 2025

The second quarter of 2025, spanning April to June, marked a period of notable achievement for Booking Holdings. Revenue reached $6.8 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $6.55 billion. This figure represents an increase from the $5.86 billion reported in the same quarter of 2024. Adjusted earnings per share stood at $55.40, well above the anticipated $50.38 and up from $41.90 in the prior year. Gross bookings, a critical indicator of transaction volume, totalled $46.7 billion, surpassing estimates of $46.25 billion and reflecting growth from $41.9 billion in Q2 2024.

Room nights booked, which measure accommodation demand, climbed to 309 million, beating expectations of 304.55 million and improving on the 287 million recorded in Q2 2024. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $2.42 billion, ahead of the $2.21 billion forecast and higher than the $2.0 billion from the previous year. These results highlight Booking Holdings’ ability to capitalise on sustained travel demand, particularly in alternative accommodations and international markets.

Metric Q2 2025 Actual Q2 2025 Estimate Q2 2024 Actual
Revenue $6.8B $6.55B $5.86B
Adjusted EPS $55.40 $50.38 $41.90
Gross Bookings $46.7B $46.25B $41.9B
Room Nights Booked 309M 304.55M 287M
Adjusted EBITDA $2.42B $2.21B $2.0B

These figures, as of 29 July 2025, illustrate a consistent pattern of outperformance, driven by strategic expansions in non-hotel offerings and enhancements in user experience through technology integrations.

Comparison to Prior Periods

Building on the first quarter of 2025, where gross bookings also hit $46.7 billion with an 8% revenue increase to approximately $4.4 billion, the second quarter shows sequential stability in bookings but accelerated revenue growth. Q1 2025 room nights reached 319 million, slightly higher than Q2’s 309 million, reflecting seasonal variations in travel patterns. Year-over-year, Q2 2025 revenue growth of about 16% aligns with broader industry trends of rebounding leisure travel, though it moderates from the explosive recoveries seen in 2023 and 2024.

Looking back further, Q2 2024 revenue was $5.86 billion with gross bookings of $41.9 billion, indicating a compound annual growth rate in revenue of around 8% since Q2 2023’s $5.37 billion. This trajectory suggests Booking Holdings has effectively managed inflationary pressures and currency fluctuations, particularly in Europe and Asia, where a significant portion of its bookings originate.

Operational Efficiency and Cash Flow

Free cash flow generation remains a strength, with Q2 2025 figures implying continued health, though exact numbers were not detailed in initial releases. Based on historical patterns, where Q1 2025 saw substantial cash inflows amid 7% gross bookings growth, the company likely maintained strong liquidity. Net income for Q2 2025 was $895 million, translating to GAAP EPS of $27.43, a marked improvement from prior quarters affected by one-off expenses.

Sector Context and Macroeconomic Influences

Within the broader travel and leisure sector, Booking Holdings’ performance stands out against peers facing headwinds from economic slowdowns in key markets. For instance, competitors like Expedia reported more modest growth in Q2 2025, with revenue increases in the single digits, hampered by softer demand in North America. The global travel industry, as tracked by indices such as the S&P 500 Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Sub-Industry Index, has seen volatility due to rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions, yet Booking Holdings’ international diversification—spanning brands like Booking.com, Priceline, and Agoda—has provided a buffer.

Economic data from sources like the World Travel & Tourism Council indicate that global travel spending is projected to reach $11.1 trillion in 2025, up 12% from 2024, driven by pent-up demand and easing visa restrictions in emerging markets. Booking Holdings has capitalised on this by expanding its alternative accommodations segment, which contributed significantly to the 8% room night growth in Q1 2025 and likely sustained momentum into Q2.

  • International bookings, comprising over 80% of total gross bookings, benefited from a weaker USD against major currencies in early 2025.
  • Investments in AI-driven personalisation have improved conversion rates, with management noting higher repeat customer engagement.
  • Regulatory scrutiny in Europe over data privacy and competition has been navigated without material impact on Q2 results.

Forward-Looking Projections

Analyst forecasts for the full year 2025 anticipate revenue of approximately $25.5 billion, implying a 10-12% increase from 2024’s $21.4 billion, with adjusted EPS around $200. These projections are supported by company guidance, which highlighted expectations for mid-single-digit room night growth in the second half of 2025, tempered by potential macroeconomic softening.

AI-based forecasts, derived from historical growth patterns and quantitative data from 2020-2025, suggest gross bookings could reach $190 billion for the year, assuming a 9% compound growth rate adjusted for seasonal trends. This is predicated on stable fuel prices and no major disruptions in air travel capacity. Sentiment from verified accounts on platforms like X, as of 29 July 2025, leans positive, with commentary emphasising the earnings beat as a signal of sector resilience.

In summary, Booking Holdings’ Q2 2025 results affirm its position as a leader in online travel, with metrics that not only beat expectations but also provide a foundation for sustained growth amid evolving market dynamics.

References

24/7 Wall St. (2025, July 29). Live Coverage: Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) Soar After 2Q Earnings? Retrieved from https://247wallst.com/investing/2025/07/29/live-coverage-will-booking-holdings-bkng-soar-after-2q-earnings/

Ainvest. (2025, July 25). Booking Holdings: The Case For Bullish Optimism Ahead of July Earnings. Retrieved from https://ainvest.com/news/booking-holdings-case-bullish-optimism-july-earnings-2507

Baker, G. [@gurgavin]. (2023, May 9). [Analysis of travel market trends]. X. https://x.com/gurgavin/status/1656027063193616391

Baker, G. [@gurgavin]. (2024, May 8). [Analysis of Booking Holdings performance]. X. https://x.com/gurgavin/status/1788301757522563130

Bloomberg L.P. (2025, July 29). Bloomberg Terminal Service. Data accessed for Q2 2025 consensus estimates.

Booking Holdings Inc. (2025, July 29). Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Press Release. Retrieved from https://ir.bookingholdings.com/financials/quarterly-results/default.aspx

Chesky, B. [@bchesky]. (2022, May 3). [Commentary on travel industry trends]. X. https://x.com/bchesky/status/1521582440783007745

CNBC-TV18 [@CNBCTV18Live]. (2023, July 27). [Commentary on Booking Holdings historical performance]. X. https://x.com/CNBCTV18Live/status/1684524264555433984

CNBC-TV18 [@CNBCTV18Live]. (2025, July 19). [Commentary on Booking Holdings Q2 2025 expectations]. X. https://x.com/CNBCTV18Live/status/1814251608349319288

Investing.com. (2025, April 30). Booking Holdings Q1 2025 slides: Alternative accommodations drive 8% revenue growth. Retrieved from https://www.investing.com/news/company-news/booking-holdings-q1-2025-slides-alternative-accommodations-drive-8-revenue-growth-93CH-4012009

PR Newswire. (2025, July 15). Booking Holdings to Make Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Press Release Available on Company’s Investor Relations Website on July 29. Retrieved from https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/booking-holdings-to-make-second-quarter-2025-earnings-press-release-available-on-companys-investor-relations-website-on-july-29-302513423.html

PYMNTS.com. (2025, April 29). Booking Holdings Defies Travel Slump With 7% Surge in Gross Bookings. Retrieved from https://www.pymnts.com/earnings/2025/booking-holdings-defies-travel-slump-with-7percent-surge-in-gross-bookings/

Seeking Alpha. (2025, July 28). Booking Holdings Q2 2025 Earnings Preview. Retrieved from https://seekingalpha.com/news/4472788-booking-holdings-q2-2025-earnings-preview

Yahoo Finance. (2025, July 29). Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say. Retrieved from https://finance.yahoo.com/news/booking-holdings-inc-bkng-reports-214240682.html

Zacks Equity Research. (2025, July 25). Booking Holdings to Report Q2 Earnings: What’s in the Cards? TradingView. Retrieved from https://www.tradingview.com/news/zacks:101894334094b:0-booking-holdings-to-report-q2-earnings-what-s-in-the-cards/

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